Meet America’s newest military giant: Amazon
The
Pentagon’s controversial $10 billion JEDI cloud computing deal is one of the
most lucrative defense contracts ever. Amazon’s in pole position to win—and its
move into the military has been a long time coming.
MIT Technology Review - Oct 8, 2019
In July, when President Donald Trump was in
the Oval Office with the Dutch prime minister, he took a few moments to answer
questions from reporters. His comments, in typical fashion, covered disparate
subjects—from job creation to the “squad” of congresswomen he attacks regularly
to sanctions against Turkey. Then a reporter asked him about an obscure
Pentagon contract called JEDI, and whether he planned to intervene in it.
The reporter was referring to a lucrative and
soon-to-be-awarded contract to provide cloud computing services to the
Department of Defense. It is worth as much as $10 billion, and Amazon has long
been considered the front-runner. But the deal was under intense scrutiny from
rivals who said the bid process was biased toward the e-commerce giant.
“It’s a very big contract,” said Trump. “One
of the biggest ever given having to do with the cloud and having to do with a
lot of other things. And we’re getting tremendous, really, complaints from
other companies, and from great companies. Some of the greatest companies in
the world are complaining about it.”
Microsoft, Oracle, and IBM, he continued,
were all bristling.
“So we’re going to take a look at it. We’ll
take a very strong look at it.”
Shortly afterwards, the Pentagon put out an
announcement: the contract was on hold until the bid process had been through a
thorough review.
Many saw it as yet another jab by Trump at
his nemesis Jeff Bezos, the CEO of Amazon and owner of the Washington Post.
Since arriving in the White House, Trump has regularly lashed out at Bezos over
Twitter—blaming him for negative press coverage, criticizing Amazon’s tax
affairs, and even griping about the company’s impact on the US Postal Service.
After all, until just a few months ago most
Americans had never heard of JEDI, much less cared about it. Compared with
efforts to build large fighter aircraft or hypersonic missiles—the kinds of
headline military projects we’re used to hearing about—the Joint Enterprise
Defense Infrastructure program seemed downright boring. Its most exciting
provisions include off-site data centers, IT systems, and web-based
applications.
Perhaps it’s equally mundane that Amazon
would be in the running for such a contract. It is, after all, the world’s
leading provider of cloud computing; its Amazon Web Services (AWS) division
generated more than $25 billion in revenue in 2018.
But Trump’s diatribe wasn’t just about a
contract war between a handful of technology companies. It was a spotlight on
the changing nature of Amazon and its role in national security and
politics. The company has spent the past decade carefully working its way
toward the heart of Washington, and today—not content with being the world’s
biggest online retailer—it is on the brink of becoming one of America’s largest
defense contractors.
Return of the Jedi
The Sheraton Hotel in Pentagon City, a
neighborhood adjacent to the Department of Defense, feels a world away from the
ethos of Silicon Valley and its fast-moving startup culture. In March 2018, the
1,000-seat ballroom of the 1970s-era brutalist hotel was packed with vendors
interested in bidding on JEDI. As the attendees sat in tired King Louis–style
ballroom chairs, a parade of uniformed Pentagon officials talked about
procurement strategy.
For the Beltway’s usual bidders, this was a
familiar sight—until Chris Lynch took the stage. Lynch, described by one
defense publication as the “Pentagon’s original hoodie-wearing digital guru,”
was sporting red-framed sunglasses pushed up above his forehead and a Star Wars
T-shirt emblazoned with “Cloud City.”
He had arrived at the Pentagon three years
earlier to freshen the moribund military bureaucracy. A serial entrepreneur who
worked in engineering and marketing in Seattle, he quickly earned the enmity of
federal contractors who were suspicious of what the Pentagon planned to do.
Some took his casual dress as a deliberate sneer at the buttoned-up Beltway
community.
“There’s a place for that and it’s not in the
Pentagon,” says John Weiler, the executive director of the IT Acquisition
Advisory Council, an industry association whose members include companies
hoping to bid on JEDI. “I’m sorry, wearing a hoodie and all that stupid stuff?
[He’s] wearing a uniform to kind of pronounce that he’s a geek, but really,
he’s not.”
Even those who weren’t offended thought Lynch
made it clear where his preferences lay—and it wasn’t with traditional federal
contractors.
“What if we were to take advantage of all
these incredible solutions that have been developed and driven by people who
have nothing to do with the federal government?” he asked during his speech to
the packed ballroom. “What if we were to unlock those capabilities to do the
mission of national defense? What if we were to take advantage of the long-tail
marketplaces that have developed in the commercial cloud industries? That’s
what JEDI is.”
The Pentagon had certainly decided to make
some unconventional moves with this contract. It was all going to a single
contractor, on an accelerated schedule that would see the contract awarded
within months. Many in the audience inferred that the deal was hardwired for
Amazon.
Weiler says the contract has “big flaws” and
that the Pentagon’s approach will end up losing potential cost efficiencies.
Instead of having multiple companies competing to keep costs down, there will
only be a single cloud from a single provider.
That one-size-fits-all approach hasn’t worked
for the CIA—which announced plans to bring in multiple providers earlier this
year—and it won’t work for the Department of Defense, he says. And he says the
deal means all existing apps will be required to migrate to the cloud, whether
that’s appropriate or not. “Some things don’t belong there,” he says. “Some
things weren’t designed to take advantage of it.”
In August 2018, Oracle filed a protest with
the Government Accountability Office arguing that the contract was “designed
around a particular cloud service.” (IBM followed suit shortly afterwards.) The
same month, the publication Defense One revealed that RosettiStarr, a
Washington investigative firm, had been shopping a dossier to reporters
alleging an effort by Sally Donnelly, a top Pentagon official and former
outside consultant to Amazon, to favor the e-commerce company. RosettiStarr has
refused to identify the client who paid for its work.
The company’s cloud-based facial-recognition
software, which can detect age, gender, and certain emotions as well as
identifying faces, is already being used by some police departments, and in
2018 Amazon bought Ring, which makes smart doorbells that capture video.
The drama continued. In December 2018,
Oracle, which didn’t make the cut for the final stage of bidding, filed new
documents alleging a conflict of interest. Deap Ubhi, who worked with Lynch in
the Pentagon’s Defense Digital Services office, had been negotiating employment
with Amazon while involved with JEDI, Oracle claimed.
Questions were also raised about a 2017 visit
to the West Coast by James Mattis, then the secretary of defense, which
included a visit to Silicon Valley and a drop-in at Amazon’s headquarters in
Seattle. On his way there, Mattis declared himself a “big admirer of what they
do out there,” and he was later photographed walking side by side with Bezos.
(Mattis’s admiration for innovation wasn’t
always matched by his discernment; until 2017, he served on the board of
Theranos, the blood diagnostics firm that was exposed as a fraud.)
Amazon and the Pentagon have denied claims of
improper behavior, and in July they received the backing of a federal judge,
who ruled that the company had not unduly influenced the contract. That,
however, was before President Trump stepped in.
“From day one, we’ve competed for JEDI on the
breadth and depth of our services and their corresponding security and
operational performance,” an AWS spokesperson told MIT Technology Review.
One reason may have to do with the priorities
of the Department of Defense itself. Once, it led the way in computer
science—many of the technologies that made cloud computing possible, including
the internet itself, originated from military--sponsored research. Today,
however, the money big tech firms bring to information technology dwarfs what
the Pentagon spends on computing research. The Defense Advanced Research
Projects Agency (DARPA), which funded the creation of the Arpanet (the
precursor to the internet) starting in the 1960s, is still involved in computer
science, but when it comes to cloud computing, it is not building its own
version.
Jonathan Smith, a DARPA program manager, says
the agency’s cloud work today is focused on developing secure, open-source
prototypes that could be adopted by anyone, whether in government, academia, or
commercial companies, like Amazon.
“I mean, pragmatically, when you look at
technology, I think in days gone by the DOD was like Godzilla,” he said. “But
now we’re just a big mean machine.”
A force awakens
All this is a rapid turnaround from a little
more than a decade ago, when Amazon successfully fought a government subpoena
for customer records relating to some 24,000 books as part of a fraud case.
“Well-founded or not, rumors of an Orwellian federal criminal investigation
into the reading habits of Amazon’s customers could frighten countless
potential customers into canceling planned online book purchases,” the judge
wrote in the 2007 ruling in favor of Amazon. Those familiar with the corporate
culture at the time say it was generally antagonistic toward working with the
government. Unlike Larry Ellison, who has openly bragged about the CIA being
the launch customer for Oracle, Bezos was part of a second wave of tech moguls
who were wary of ties to the feds.
Yet the company was already making its first
forays into the cloud computing services that would eventually make it an
obvious government partner. In 2003 two employees, Benjamin Black and Chris
Pinkham, wrote a paper describing a standardized virtual server system to
provide computing power, data storage, and infrastructure on demand. If Amazon
found this system useful, they suggested, so would other businesses. One day
soon, those who didn’t want to operate their own servers wouldn’t have to: they
could just rent them.
The duo presented the idea to Bezos, who told
them to run with it. Launched publicly in March 2006, well before rival services
like Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud, AWS now dominates the market. Cloud services
provided Amazon with 13% of its overall business in 2018, and a disproportionate
share of its profit. AWS boasts millions of customers, including Netflix,
Airbnb, and GE.
Providing infrastructure to other companies
opened the door to serving government agencies. In 2013 AWS scored a surprise
victory to become the CIA’s cloud computing supplier. The
deal, worth $600 million, made Amazon a major national security contractor
overnight.
Since then, things have accelerated. Amazon
has been investing heavily in new data centers in Northern Virginia, and in
February 2019, after a heavily publicized contest, the company announced it had
selected Crystal City, Virginia—a suburb of Washington, DC, less than a mile
from the Pentagon—as the site for its second headquarters. (New York was also
chosen as a joint winner, but Amazon subsequently dropped its plans following
public opposition to the tax breaks the city had given the company.)
Amazon has not seen the same kind of staff
backlash—perhaps because it is notorious for a hardball approach to labor
negotiations. And even when its workers did get restless, it wasn’t because of
Amazon’s CIA or Pentagon links, but because it sold web services to Palantir,
the data analytics company that works with Immigration and Customs Enforcement.
Amazon employees wrote an open letter to Bezos protesting “immoral U.S.
policy,” but it has had little, if any, effect.
And it would be a surprise if it did. It’s
hard to imagine that after more than five years of providing the computer
backbone for the CIA as it conducts drone strikes around the world, Amazon
would suddenly balk at working on immigration enforcement.
Empire strikes back
So why has Amazon moved into national
security? Many think it comes down to cold hard cash. Stephen E. Arnold, a
specialist in intelligence and law enforcement software, has used a series of
online videos to trace the evolution of Amazon from 2007, when it had
“effectively zero” presence in government IT, to today, when it appears set to
dominate. “Amazon wants to neutralize and then displace the traditional
Department of Defense vendors and become the 21st-century IBM for the US
government,” he says.
Trey Hodgkins agrees. “The winner of [the
JEDI] contract is going to control a substantial portion of the clouds across
the federal government,” says Hodgkins, until recently a senior vice president
at the Information Technology Alliance for Public Sector, an association of IT
contractors. The alliance disbanded in 2018 after it raised concerns about
JEDI, after which Amazon, one of its members, left and formed its own
association. Civilian agencies, he says, look to the Pentagon and say, “You
know what? If it’s good enough and substantial enough for them—scalable—then
it’s probably going to be okay for us.”
“What if we were to take advantage of all
these incredible solutions that have been developed and driven by people who
have nothing to do with the federal government?”
But Arnold believes Amazon is making a wider
move into the global business of law enforcement and security. The company’s
cloud-based facial-recognition software, Rekognition, which can detect age,
gender, and certain emotions as well as identifying faces, is already being
used by some police departments, and in 2018 Amazon bought Ring, which makes
smart doorbells that capture video.
Ring might seem like a good consumer
investment, but the company, Arnold believes, is creating technology that can
mine its treasure trove of consumer, financial, and law enforcement data.
“Amazon wants to become the preferred vendor for federal, state, county, and
local government when police and intelligence solutions are required,” he says.
This summer, Vice News revealed that Ring was helping provide video to local
police departments.
But that’s only the start. Arnold predicts
Amazon will move beyond the US law enforcement and intelligence markets and
look globally. That, he predicts, is worth tens of billions of dollars.
The bottom line isn’t the only concern,
however: there’s also influence. One former intelligence official I spoke with
says the government contracts and the Washington Post purchase aren’t two
distinct moves for Bezos, but part of a broader push into the capital. Far from
a conspiracy, he says, it’s what captains of industry have always done.
“There’s nothing crooked in it,” the former official said. “Bezos is just
defending his interests.”
And perhaps the ultimate goal is not just
more government contracts, but influence over regulations that could affect
Amazon. Today, some of its biggest threats aren’t competitors, but lawmakers
and politicians arguing for antitrust moves against tech giants. (Or, perhaps,
a president arguing it should pay more taxes.) And Bezos clearly understands
that operating in Washington requires access to, and influence on, whoever is
in the White House; in 2015 he hired Obama’s former press secretary, Jay
Carney, as a senior executive, and earlier this year AWS enlisted Jeff Miller,
a Trump fund-raiser, to lobby on its behalf.
Amazon told MIT Technology Review that the
national security focus is part of a larger move into the public sector.
“We feel strongly that the defense,
intelligence, and national security communities deserve access to the best
technology in the world,” said a spokesperson. “And we are committed to
supporting their critical missions of protecting our citizens and defending our
country.”
Not everyone agrees. Steve Aftergood, who
runs the Project on Government Secrecy at the Federation of American
Scientists, has tracked intelligence spending and privacy issues for decades. I
asked him if he has any concerns about Amazon’s rapid expansion into national
security. “We seem to be racing toward a new configuration of government and
industry without having fully thought through all of the implications. And some
of those implications may not be entirely foreseeable,” he wrote in an email.
“But any time you establish a new concentration of power and influence, you
also need to create some countervailing structure that will have the authority
and the ability to perform effective oversight. Up to now, that oversight
structure doesn’t seem to [be] getting the attention it deserves.”
If observers and critics are right, the
Pentagon JEDI contract is just a stepping--stone for Amazon to eventually take
over the entire government cloud, serving as the data storage hub for
everything from criminal records to tax audits. If that concerns some of those
on the outside looking in, it’s business as usual for those inside the Beltway,
where the government has always been the biggest, and most lucrative, customer.
“Bezos is smart for getting in early,” says
the former intelligence official. “He saw, ‘There’s gold in them thar hills.’”
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